資料來源 : https://www.yardeni.com/pub/sp500corrbeartables.pdf
Peak
Date |
Trough
Date |
Peak
Price |
Trough
Price |
Percent
Loss |
Number
of Days** |
9/7/1929
|
11/13/1929
|
31.92
|
17.66
|
-44.70
|
67
|
4/10/1930
|
6/1/1932
|
25.92
|
4.40
|
-83.00
|
783
|
9/7/1932
|
2/27/1933
|
9.31
|
5.53
|
-40.60
|
173
|
7/18/1933
|
10/21/1933
|
12.20
|
8.57
|
-29.80
|
95
|
2/6/1934
|
3/14/1935
|
11.82
|
8.06
|
-31.80
|
401
|
3/6/1937
|
3/31/1938
|
18.68
|
8.50
|
-54.50
|
390
|
11/9/1938
|
4/8/1939
|
13.79
|
10.18
|
-26.20
|
150
|
10/25/1939
|
6/10/1940
|
13.21
|
8.99
|
-31.90
|
229
|
11/9/1940
|
4/28/1942
|
11.40
|
7.47
|
-34.50
|
535
|
5/29/1946
|
10/9/1946
|
19.25
|
14.12
|
-26.60
|
133
|
6/15/1948
|
6/13/1949
|
17.06
|
13.55
|
-20.60
|
363
|
7/15/1957
|
10/22/1957
|
49.13
|
38.98
|
-20.70
|
99
|
12/12/1961
|
6/26/1962
|
72.64
|
52.32
|
-28.00
|
196
|
2/9/1966
|
10/7/1966
|
94.06
|
73.20
|
-22.00
|
240
|
11/29/1968
|
5/26/1970
|
108.37
|
69.29
|
-36.10
|
543
|
1/11/1973
|
10/3/1974
|
120.24
|
62.28
|
-48.20
|
630
|
11/28/1980
|
8/12/1982
|
140.52
|
102.42
|
-27.10
|
622
|
8/25/1987
|
12/4/1987
|
336.77
|
223.92
|
-33.50
|
101
|
3/24/2000
|
10/9/2002
|
1527.46
|
776.76
|
-49.10
|
929
|
10/9/2007
|
3/9/2009
|
1565.15
|
676.53
|
-56.80
|
517
|
2/19/2020
|
3/16/2020
|
3386.15
|
2386.13
|
-29.50
|
26
|
average
|
-36.91
|
343.9
|
你又講得幾有道理, 我都要檢討下係咪出錯左, 太早撈底, 要思考下
回覆刪除this time is difficult, super dai wok!
回覆刪除撈底,太早會好痛苦,當然是每次熊市長短都唔同,固定時間分注買入會安心啲。
回覆刪除回測只是看看之前的數據,令自己作決定時可以有根據,並知道自己最差可能面對的情境。
刪除回調5成似是基本,8成就GG了
刪除